Is this Machamp worth powering up?
I recently caught a 1627 CP Machamp with Counter and Close Combat. He is an 89 IV with 15 Attack, 11 Defense, and 14 Stamina. That is my best Machamp CP and IV wise. Should I power him up? Thanks for the replies.
Answers
Math wise; chance to have higher iv with 15 attack. It can only miss 4 iv points but none in attack.
1/6 (15 attack is 1/6 chance because the IV from mons from raids vary only between 10-15 so 6 possibilities.)
Remaining possibilities; 14 out of 36 possible combinations appear with 4 or less iv points missing.
(1/6)*(14/36)= 0,0648
You'll have around 6,5% chance at encountering a higher IV machamp from a raid with 15 attack IV
That depends on how lucky you are. I've done about 20 Machamp raids and only ever got one that was better than yours, by 1 point of defense. Almost every raid I do ends up around 1600 CP. And since I only see maybe one Machamp raid per week, it took me months to finally get one with IVs in the 90s. On the other hand, for Tyranitar raids, I've only done a couple more than Machamp, yet I've caught four with 15 attack at 96% or higher. So it's hard to predict. That one you caught could be the best you ever see, no matter how many raids you do, or you could get a perfect weather-boosted one your very next raid.
If the concern is merely stardust, you can try doing some Machamp raids in cloudy weather to save 31K stardust powering from 20 to 25.
If this one already had either Counter/Dynamic Punch or Bullet Punch/Dynamic Punch (for guaranteed fast TM to Counter), the extra stardust would not be as much a concern. But having to gamble on charge TMs with lesser IVs or compromise on the second best charge move is frustrating.
It's pretty good but if you're able to solo Machamp raids then getting another is just a matter of time.
If you find yourself needing better attackers for Tyranitar this could be a viable candidate for the time being. There's other options like evolving random high level Makuhitas though, if you can.
Even if you do have a better Machamp you're still going put this in your Tyranitar squad until you get 6 really good Machamps, so don't think of it as a wasted investment.