Favor Lapras hatching?

I am actually looking to test this hypothesis as well since I have yet to hatch a Snorlax/Lapras and just reached lvl27... I've gathered some anecdotal reports of where those who have hatched Lapras frequently go for Pokestops/eggs but will take time as I still have a few eggs slots to clear out first!

I live at sea and pretty much only spin stops at the beach and boulevard.

I've got a ton of Pinsirs aswell, quite a few Magmars and Jynx. As far as 2 and 5 km eggs go it's all over the place but I only ever got 1 squirtle.

I'm sorry but I think it doesn't work that way.

I actually tried to verify the egg/Pokestop obtained thing, but I was actually disproven and sent the other way. Last week I was in SF and hatched 9 eggs and restocked completely. I hatched several Water types while in SF including Seel, whom I've never even seen before. a few days later I hatched the SF eggs expecting to get more Water Types, but instead 7/9 eggs hatched into things that already frequent my area. None of the eggs had Water types either.

I think where you hatch the egg is actually the most influential factor. If you have a 10km and hatch it while around water, I think you have a better chance of getting Lapras. Either that, or hatch it at a spawn zone that correlates with Lapras.

I am currently level 30, have hatched just shy of 500 eggs.

I have 2 Lapras. They hatched together from synchronised eggs. I'm not 100% sure where I collected them from but it very possibly could have been from a water biome. Interestingly, they hatched on a small island 20km off the coast of Western Australia.

I had thought that maybe hatch location had something to do with it?

I also spoke to someone once who claimed to have got 4 Lapras from a single pokestop. He said he just sat there and waited for the same one to load and it kept giving 10km eggs, and they all hatched lapras. I never went there myself because the stop is over an hour's drive away and I didnt want to risk it on a myth. The area was definitely coastal though.

I'm heading back to the island where i hatched them this weekend. I will try and get some 10km eggs this week before I go. While I am there, I will hatch them, and hopefully pick up some more 10kms.

I'll report anything that hatches out of 10kms when I get back

I dont think there is any correlation to nests, habitat or rare spawns. I hatched 27 eggs from 1 pokestop in the direct center of a well known pikachu nest in Kansas City(Nelson Art gallery). I got exactly 1 pikachu on one of my very last eggs all of which were 2k in hopes of increasing the odds by narrowing the search. As a matter of fact almost all of those pokemon were BAD IVs common pokemon. carerpie, pidgey, weedle all like 75.6% IVs to mid 80s and basically useless.

More data is needed but I hypothesize:
If an eggs distance is higher then its contents has a higher CHANCE of being rarer.

This is probably based on percentages with some RNG as I can verify getting a 34/45 pokemon out of a 10k but thats the absolute lowest IVs Ive seen from a 10k and almost all have been at least rare on the scales Ive seen of common/uncommon/rare, ultra rare, legend.

You forgot Dratini in your list of possible water spawns.

To all the people posting below - whether it's determined at pickup or at time of hatch, it only means there would be an increased CHANCE at getting the Pokemon and certainly wouldn't guarantee it. Whether the Pokestop affects the results or not, there will always always always be a higher chance for Pinsir/Magmar/etc.

FWIW, I'm absolutely convinced that where you hatch it influences the results. I was playing in Central Park, and I had 7 eggs hatch IN A ROW that were all Pokemon I had just caught or had just spawned. Keep in mind these weren't common Pokemon - they included Pikachu, Kabuto, Ponyta, etc.

I can give you some input solely based on my experiences.

I'm from SF, where there are verified nests of many Pokemon. If I'm in the heart of the city, I'll very generally hatch rattatas, zubats, pidgeys, etc. I've never hatched a starter there.

The grand majority of times I've ever hatched a starter was when I was in the actual nest location. I hatched 2 consecutive bulbs back when the nest was still in the presidio.

I hatched a magikarp at the pier where they frantically spawn, and a squirtle at its respective nest.

Granted it's not always. In fact I still get many bunk hatches in nests. But the few times I got starter hatches were (possibly coincidentally) at a nest.

To control variables, I've been getting eggs from stops only near my house (away from nests).

I tried to better prove this theory by hatching 2 10km's at a known lapras spawn location. I was literally standing at its area, but sadly hatched an electabuzz and an Eevee. I'll keep at it and let you know.

I personally feel that where you are (not where you got the egg) very slightly increases the probability of what you hatch.

If there are 17 possible outcomes of a 10km egg, we all know from experience that the probabilities aren't equal (we've all hatched Eevee, scyther, and pinsir, but not everyone has a snorlax or lapras hatch).

I personally still believe you have a VERY slight increase in hatching a Pokemon if you're at a spawn site.

Well, In my experience (I'm from Europe) I was thinking the same way.

There is an Growlithe nest on a kilometer where I live, and every 5KM egg is a Growlithe. Then I was on holiday in Oslo, in a park was a Charmander nest, I had 2 2KM eggs there, and both where charmanders.

A day at sea where Lapras something spawns, and yes a 10KM egg becomes a Lapras...

So I think nests and eggs could have an correlation, maybe it woudn't be 100% but a good chance.

If it is not a nest, I think it's random.

Now the "capture location" is added into the information, and I noticed the location for the ones hatched from eggs are the location where the eggs were obtained, not the location where they were hatched. I wonder if there's any correlation to this matter.