What is the ratio for hatching a shiny pichu?
Answers
Despite Mandrake's experience, I think this may be slightly more accurate:
Edit: ignore this imagine, this source probably isn't correct, as it is from a poll and as the author of the article pointed out, is due to a small sample size of which the population is probably biased (people who have a shiny may or may not be as likely to engage with the poll compared to those who have yet to see one)
That number is based off the main series (@pikamander, i don't think think there is any evidence in the game data that proves that? I wouldn't use the term "definitive" for the last sentence)
While I am guessing the likelihood probably isn't replicated in Go, 1/4096 is probably the closest response any of us have posted yet.
@Radiant - Your response is one I agree with due the fact that it truly would require a rediculous sample size.
I have no clue as to how true my source is in terms of truth, I posted because I wanted to show that GCM's initial response from there experience probably isn't close to the actual hatch likelihood, of which 1/256 is actually closer than 1/2. After visiting the link:
https://pokemongoinformer.com/how-rare-are-shiny-magikarp-in-pokemon-go/
It appears that research was based off a poll with a probably small and biased sample size (most of the responses from users whom had seen one?)
However the statement that 1/4096 (or whatever, can't see pika's reply while I am typing this) "is not true" can't be proved or disproved, like you posted, as any research would take a reeoculously amount of time
