Should I evolve my 100% Christmas pikachu??
Answers
What moves does it have now? If it has Thundershock/Thunder or Thunderbolt, I would save it as is.
I have a few times followed the gambler's fallacy when evolving especially high IV pokemon:
1) Save up enough candy to evolve the same pokemon 3-4 times and enough good IV copies that I want to evolve.
2) Start evolving with the worst IVs out of the set.
3) If I get the moveset I want, stop and go back to step 1. If I don't get the moveset I want, evolve the one with the next best IVs.
I know it is stupid. Each event is probably independent from the one before it. But if there is any chance that multiple evolutions in a row are not completely independent, then I at least need to get 2-3 bad evolutions in a row before trying my really good IV pokemon. At the very least I can more justifiable claim that the RNG hates me. ;-)