IV reroll testing- bad rng or am I missing something
So I just traded about 25 mons with my son since we became Ultra friends, I wanted to wait until Ultra as I assumed iv range would be more secure. Most stuff traded was high cp Alolan Exeggutor most iv on them was 40-70% and shiny charizard
Not once did the iv go up for me?! I wonder since I am level 40 and he is 32 If that matters? For him a few went slight up but nothing to be excited about.
Curious have people had experience with iv increasing from day 40-70% to +90%? I was very underwhelmed lol really was hoping I could get +84% good attack Alolan eggs with high cp to max out but that didn’t happen at all.
Answers
Trades of note, right now I'm holding off til lucky pokemon confirmations:
These are ones I've kept from some earlier trades and ones done first day of ultra; overall more became worse ones than better outcomes (done 427 total trades, lots trashy ones, giving stuff away, grinding candy, getting pilot miles):
Had a Level 35 Snorlax go up 2987 to 3029.
Level 30 Dragonite (ultra) started bad, like 2890 (a 1 stamina) went to 2948 12a/6/6; think Dragonite on the other end went up a bit, too. Vaporeon level 35 (ultra) went from low 2700s to 2888--appxm 15a/11/12. Level 29 Smack Down Tyranitar (ultra) went from 2901 to 2994 14a/14/11. Level 12 Blissey went from 980 to 1089 15a/12/15.
As far as we know, it's a re-roll. Trading with best friends gives a floor of 5 on stats, nowhere near as good as eggs, raid encounters, or research encounters, where the floor is 10.
But let's be real, you do a Machamp raid, and get a 11/12/10 (ads, although it doesn't really matter). You're never going to power it up or use it, given that you can do 2 more raids and have a 99.9% chance of getting a better one. So trade it to a best friend, and the chances of them getting a 90% or better are:
Best friend = 35 in 1331, or 2.63%
Ultra friend = 35 in 2197, or 1.59%
Great friend = 35 in 2744, or 1.28%
Good friend = 35 in 3375, or 1.04%
Want to do the math yourself? There's 1 way to get a 100%, 3 ways to get a 98%, 6 ways to get a 96%, 10 for a 93%, 15 for a 91%, 21 for a 89%, etc. Add up all the combinations for the group you want (90%+ = 1+3+6+10+15 = 35 ways), and divide by the total number of possibilities (for Ultra friends, 5-15 is 11 possibilities, and 11^3 = 1331).
I have had luck with only two trades so far: a 100% Alolan Meowth and a 96% Mr. Mime. Everything else has been trashed.
I’m kind of annoyed that the floor doesn’t go to 10/10/10 at Best Friend status. To me, a 5 is no better than a 1; I would never power up either. And it’s for that reason I’m in no hurry to trade legendaries. I really wanted a TS Zapdos since I missed the event and Niantic made the boneheaded decision to TM lock the fast move. But I’m not spending the dust with the current odds. I’d honestly rather not have one than get one with 5/5/5 stats.