Has anyone else seen charge tms completely dry up?
I mostly use just my free pass, and I alternate between level 5 and level 3 raids. I don't remember the last time I got a ctm. 2 weeks? Maybe more. I'm sure it's RNG but anyone else want to give me some hope? I have none and I have a growing list of mons I want to use them on.
Answers
I'm just surprised Niantic hasn't touched the Charged TM issue. I have a 98% Ray that I would like to get OT with and I spent 10 TMS for it to just go back and forth between Air and Ancient. And this was a course of 2 days waited 30 minutes every time i tried and restarted the game. I am also very very surprised Niantic as not fixed the dodge glitch like cmon.
I got super lucky and got 2 CTM's in one Aggron raid this past Sunday.
I was holding the gym and have a silver badge for it. Im not sure if that's relevant but the general consensus is that the more premiere balls you win for a raid, the better chance to get TMs.
Anecdotally, it feels like you get more TMs and Rare Candy when you horde them. When you are sitting on zero it seems like it takes forever to get the ball rolling again
I do 1-2 raids a day and probably average 1 CTM per week, 2 if I'm lucky
RNG, man, RNG.
In the past 2 weeks I've gotten 7 FTM's and 5 CTM's in about 10 raids, after going the entirety of January without getting a single TM of either kind. I'm at the point where I don't have anything to spend FTM's on anymore! (CTM's, yes, but only because it seems my personal RNG for Machamps says that if I have Heavy Slam, I can only change it to Close Combat, and if I have Close Combat, I can only change it to Heavy Slam. Seriously, I think out of 10 CTM's I've only gotten 1 Dynamic Punch. Maybe.)
It's just this absolutely insane RNG that Niantic has. I'm still convinced that there are actually 3 settings on it - Drought (0-25% of the stated chance of the specific item), Normal (26-75% of the stated chance for that item), and Flood (76-100% of the stated chance for that item), and that you're in the Drought setting for TM's while I'm in the Flood setting.
They seem to be more rare unless you are doing a lot of raids(meaning more than a couple a day). It is frustrating when I do get them and try for a OR for my Rayquaza, just to go back and forth between AA and AP. Being from Instinct, the minority player in my area, I typically do not see as many premier balls which means my odds of getting them are even less than others.
About a week ago in back to back tier 5 raids I got 4 charge TMs then 3 Charges and a fast. Before that, I'd gotten probably 2 or 3 in the past week. Since then I've done probably 12 more tier 5 raids and gotten about 3 charge TMs total. Got one from a mawile raid yesterday.
Bottom line is, if you keep raiding you'll have stretches where you might get 4 TMs in one raid, followed by stretches where you won't get any in a week. 2 weeks without one probably can be chalked up to just lousy RNG.
I'm always on zero Charge TMs because I only get around 1 per 3-5 tier 5 raids and then it takes 3-5 Charge TMs on average to get the move I want, but my friend who raids with me is the opposite. He's sitting on 5 Charge TMs and ZERO fast TMs. I've watched him get the Charge move that he wants on the first try 3 times now. Despite that, he is desperate for Fast TMs and has only received one in the past two weeks!