Evolve Wailmer?
Took me a long time to gather 400 candies so i AM little bit scared of evolving and then niantic announcing something
Answers
Very true. They have done Special Research events for Kanto (Mew) and Johto (Celebi). If they do one for Hoenn soon, my guess is they would include an “Evolve Wailmer” task, since it is a Gen 3 mon. If candies are rare, I would hold out evolving it until that event comes, which may be within the next few months.
The bigger worry that was already pointed out is if part of an eventual Jirachi special research requires you to evolve a Wailmer since the Mew research required you to evolve a Magikarp. Swablu could also fall into this camp, so I'd hold off on evolving one until either that research comes or until you have 800 candy so you have a constant baseline of 400.
Personally, I would hang onto it, until you get enough candy for a second one (or close too it). Niantic did it with Magikarp, and I strongly suspect they'll do it again sometime. Wailord isn't an especially useful pokemon anyway, so it's not like you're missing out on much by waiting.
I'm holding onto Swablu candies for the same reason (though in both cases I already have the evolved forms, I'm just gathering more candies so I'm ready for future quests).