89%+ Magikarps
is this about right or am I unlucky, I have caught 720-730 magikarps and only found 7 of them with a 89% + level...1 in every 100..??
Answers
I've caught 53 karps and hatched 1 since Saturday. Nice little nest in a park up the street from me. 3. Worth saving out of those. .. 171 cp level 29 87%, 144 cp level 25 87%, and of course a level 20 82% at 108 cp. I have 3 others from a while back... 2 93%, 163 and 119 cp and 1. 91% 157cp. Sitting on 812 candy at the moment and gonna go back today for a few hours for the double candy, and rest of the week and next week for some more. .. I have 3 gyarados now. Levels 35, 32, and 26... 84,89,and 98%.... b/dp on first 2, and b/hp on 98%. I've caught 453 total.
There's about a 0.65% chance of catching something with 39/45 or better IVs (86.67%).
Another way to ask the question is what are to odds of each IV being either 13, 14 or 15 (which would be 39/45 or better in sum). That's easy to calculate as the odds of that occurring are (3/16)^3 or about 0.65%.
Of course, this is for a caught mon. When you hatch them, the odds are much better--(3/6)^3 or 12.5%.
TLDR; - If you're at a 1% catch rate of mon over 89%, you're doing pretty well.
For egg catches, IV is always 10 or greater per stat and follows a bell curve distribution.
https://pokemongo.gamepress.gg/node/18331
I remember seeing a similar distribution for wild catches, however IV could be anywhere from 0-15 with a bell distribution centered around the middle (can't remember if it was 10 though)...