Lucky week statistics. YOUR help needed! June-December 2017.
- Make at least 10 trades wherein the oldest pokemon has been caught between June and December 2017.
- Please post here how many trades you have done and how many of them turned lucky.
It would be great if you could use that format:
16 lucky out of 50 trades.
dec 17: lucky
dec 17: no
nov 17: no
nov 17: lucky
oct 17: no
...
jun 17 : no
jun 17: lucky
thanks a lot for your help!
Answers
The reports that I have seen usually mention a lucky rate of 4-5% for pokemon of the day and maybe as high as 20% for older pokemon (with a plateau at 400 days?)
The lucky rate of 4-5% is quite well documented. Many players have done enough trades to be confortable with their own data.
The lucky rate for older pokemons is less documented and I was reluctant to use all my 400 days old pokemons to get some numbers in case my conclusion would have been that I should have waited 500 days to see a dratic increase in luckies.
I am hopefull that since many players will perform trades this week we have a good chance to get enough data. Also if we prove that the odds are 30% lucky for 400 days old pokemons this week and doubled for new pokemons, we can assume that a probaility of lucky of 15% for old pokemon in normal time is plausible.
In any case, I will trade one legendary per day this week just based on my early data.
Total I’ve done 6000 trades with myself, that was pretty much the last trade even possible from those free extra accounts besides Shadowball Mewtwo(s) and perfect Tyranitar(s), neither of which I even want on my main account.***The past two days I've resumed trading in bunches, I've gotten two lucky pokemon: proceed with caution
