I don't know man. I live in a small town with five gyms. Yesterday we had ZERO level 3 or 4 raids. Sunday we had two kevel 3 raids, no level 4. But today: a level 3 and THREE level 4 raids. The highest we've ever had by far.
I see no pattern. Looks like RNG.
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I can confirm the radomness of raid rarity, 6 gyms in my town (oddly had 6 pre-update too), we've been 3-4 days without level 4s and one day we had 3 of them in a row.
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I believe they were decreased also...Didn't see a single Tier 4 today...and only 1 Tier 3...With the large amount of gyms I saw, this can't be just RNG IMO...
Also, I haven't seen a raid start right at 7-8am anymore...
They are definitely tweaking it IMO.
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Seen like 4-5 lvl4 today,even I've not played a lot today.
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Weird. We have three level 3's and a level 4 in the next hour and a half in our town with 11 gyms.
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Everything here looks random. Been tons of raids so far today.
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Yesterday, I was a bit frustrated about not having a single level 3 or 4 raid and then today we had three level 4's and one level 3. While that has been great, I frankly feel like raids should be a bit rare or else people are simply going to stop going to them, which would be awful.